Clinical decision support system for detecting right ventricular dysfunction in acute pulmonary embolism: Explainable a new Binary Rule Search (BRS) ensembles and robustness evaluation

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Background Right-ventricular dysfunction (RVD) in acute pulmonary embolism (PE) carries excess short-term mortality; fast, transparent risk stratification is needed. Objective To develop and evaluate an interpretable Binary Rule Search (BRS) framework for RVD detection on a fully binarized clinical dataset, emphasizing conservative robustness. Methods We analyzed a single-center cohort ( N = 363; development = 250, external validation = 113) recoded into 0/1 predictors. For subset sizes k = 1–5, a Rust BRS searched bit-mask rules maximizing Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) on development data and was assessed over 500 stratified 250/113 hold-out repeats. We report MCC with bootstrap 95 % CIs plus sensitivity, specificity, precision, F1, and AUC-ROC. Robustness was summarized by the Stability-Bound Rule Score (SBRS). Results Performance increased with k; triplets offered the best parsimony–robustness balance, with modest conservative gains for quintets. The strongest quintet by point estimate was S{Age65_79; ThromMain; ThromBilat; DVTuni; Malig} (MCC = 0.326; 95 % CI 0.152–0.498). A balanced k = 4 rule, S{SexMale; ThromMain; Hypertens; HeartFail}, achieved Sensitivity 0.791, Specificity 0.557, F1 0.630, AUC-ROC 0.674 on external validation. Decision-tree checks yielded high lower-bound performance (e.g., L95 = 0.302 for S{ThromMain; DVTdist; COPD}), whereas LogNNet often matched mean MCC but showed consistently lower L95, indicating greater dispersion. PFI highlighted a thrombus-centric signal (ThromMain/ThromBilat/DVT) with meaningful secondary contributions from heart failure and hypertension. Conclusions Interpretable BRS ensembles deliver clinically acceptable, conservatively bounded performance using few binary predictors and transparent logic, supporting clinician-facing decision support in resource-constrained settings. We provide rule masks, uncertainty summaries, and an offline CDSS prototype; prospective multicenter validation is warranted. Copyright © 2025. Published by Elsevier B.V.

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AlanDeğerDil
dc.contributor.authorHuyut, Mehmet Tahir
dc.contributor.authorVelichko, Andrei
dc.contributor.authorBelyaev, Maksim
dc.contributor.authorIzotov, Yuriy
dc.contributor.authorTosun, Mustafa
dc.contributor.authorSertoğullarından, Bünyamin
dc.contributor.authorKaraoğlanoğlu, Şebnem
dc.contributor.authorDemir, Abdussamed Yasin
dc.contributor.authorKorzun, Dmitry
dc.date.accessioned2026-10-18T20:25:19.799039369Z
dc.date.available2026-10-18T20:25:19.799039369Z
dc.date.issued2026
dc.description.abstractBackground Right-ventricular dysfunction (RVD) in acute pulmonary embolism (PE) carries excess short-term mortality; fast, transparent risk stratification is needed. Objective To develop and evaluate an interpretable Binary Rule Search (BRS) framework for RVD detection on a fully binarized clinical dataset, emphasizing conservative robustness. Methods We analyzed a single-center cohort ( N = 363; development = 250, external validation = 113) recoded into 0/1 predictors. For subset sizes k = 1–5, a Rust BRS searched bit-mask rules maximizing Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) on development data and was assessed over 500 stratified 250/113 hold-out repeats. We report MCC with bootstrap 95 % CIs plus sensitivity, specificity, precision, F1, and AUC-ROC. Robustness was summarized by the Stability-Bound Rule Score (SBRS). Results Performance increased with k; triplets offered the best parsimony–robustness balance, with modest conservative gains for quintets. The strongest quintet by point estimate was S{Age65_79; ThromMain; ThromBilat; DVTuni; Malig} (MCC = 0.326; 95 % CI 0.152–0.498). A balanced k = 4 rule, S{SexMale; ThromMain; Hypertens; HeartFail}, achieved Sensitivity 0.791, Specificity 0.557, F1 0.630, AUC-ROC 0.674 on external validation. Decision-tree checks yielded high lower-bound performance (e.g., L95 = 0.302 for S{ThromMain; DVTdist; COPD}), whereas LogNNet often matched mean MCC but showed consistently lower L95, indicating greater dispersion. PFI highlighted a thrombus-centric signal (ThromMain/ThromBilat/DVT) with meaningful secondary contributions from heart failure and hypertension. Conclusions Interpretable BRS ensembles deliver clinically acceptable, conservatively bounded performance using few binary predictors and transparent logic, supporting clinician-facing decision support in resource-constrained settings. We provide rule masks, uncertainty summaries, and an offline CDSS prototype; prospective multicenter validation is warranted. Copyright © 2025. Published by Elsevier B.V.
dc.description.sponsorshipThis research was supported by the Russian Science Foundation (grant no. 22-11-00055-P , https://rscf.ru/en/project/22-11-00055/ , accessed on 10 June 2025).
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.artmed.2025.103337
dc.identifier.eissn1873-2860
dc.identifier.issn0933-3657
dc.identifier.pmid41435806
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105025447491
dc.identifier.startpage103337
dc.identifier.urihttps://rdlopen.rawdatalibrary.net/r/ebyu/10077
dc.identifier.volume172
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001650249500001
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier B.V.
dc.relation.ispartofArtificial Intelligence in Medicine
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectClinical decision support
dc.subjectInterpretable machine learning
dc.subjectMatthews correlation coefficient
dc.subjectPermutation feature importance
dc.subjectPulmonary embolism
dc.subjectRight ventricular dysfunction
dc.subjectRisk stratification
dc.subjectRule-based models
dc.subjectAcute Disease
dc.subjectAged
dc.subjectDecision Support Systems, Clinical
dc.subjectFemale
dc.subjectHumans
dc.subjectMale
dc.subjectMiddle Aged
dc.subjectROC Curve
dc.subjectVentricular Dysfunction, Right
dc.subjectArtificial intelligence
dc.subjectBiomedical signal processing
dc.subjectDecision support systems
dc.subjectDecision trees
dc.subjectLearning systems
dc.subjectPulmonary diseases
dc.subjectCorrelation coefficient
dc.subjectMachine-learning
dc.subjectMatthew correlation coefficient
dc.subjectRight ventricular dysfunctions
dc.subjectaccuracy
dc.subjectadult
dc.subjectArticle
dc.titleClinical decision support system for detecting right ventricular dysfunction in acute pulmonary embolism: Explainable a new Binary Rule Search (BRS) ensembles and robustness evaluation
dc.typeArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
rdl.citation.scopus0
rdl.citation.wos0
rdl.departmentDepartment of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, Erzincan Binali Yıldırım University, 24000, Erzincan, Turkey. Electronic address: tahir.huyut@erzincan.edu.tr. | Department of Chest Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Erzincan Binali Yıldırım University, 24000, Erzincan, Turkey. | Department of Medical Genetics, Medical Faculty, Erzincan Binali Yıldırım University, Erzincan, Turkey.
rdl.source.indexSCOPUS
rdl.source.indexWOS
rdl.source.indexPUBMED
rdl.wos.indexScience Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)