Data-driven resilience modeling: Shock response of Turkish logistics corridorss

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Traditional transport planning often fails to manage changes in people's mobility during crises. This study uses data from Meta's "Data for Good" platform to analyse how well Türkiye's transportation network can deal with external shocks. The mobility of 81 provinces was modelled using K-Means clustering and validated through spatial analyses and a Logistics Dominance Index (LDI). Results identify four distinct functional zones. Large metropolises (Cluster 4) showed high vulnerability, while logistics corridors (Cluster 2) demonstrated operational robustness, showing +3.69% continuity during crisis periods. LDI results indicate that road capacity in these regions is predominantly influenced by commercial freight. Despite the presence of high functional resilience, significant spatial risks are identified due to geographical overlap with the North Anatolian Fault Line. The findings of the present study suggest that future planning should prioritise network redundancy and data-driven dynamic management over static capacity expansion. © 2026 Elsevier Ltd.

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dc.contributor.authorSünbül, Şeyma
dc.contributor.authorTortum, Ahmet
dc.date.accessioned2026-10-18T20:25:25.187629951Z
dc.date.available2026-10-18T20:25:25.187629951Z
dc.date.issued2026
dc.description.abstractTraditional transport planning often fails to manage changes in people's mobility during crises. This study uses data from Meta's "Data for Good" platform to analyse how well Türkiye's transportation network can deal with external shocks. The mobility of 81 provinces was modelled using K-Means clustering and validated through spatial analyses and a Logistics Dominance Index (LDI). Results identify four distinct functional zones. Large metropolises (Cluster 4) showed high vulnerability, while logistics corridors (Cluster 2) demonstrated operational robustness, showing +3.69% continuity during crisis periods. LDI results indicate that road capacity in these regions is predominantly influenced by commercial freight. Despite the presence of high functional resilience, significant spatial risks are identified due to geographical overlap with the North Anatolian Fault Line. The findings of the present study suggest that future planning should prioritise network redundancy and data-driven dynamic management over static capacity expansion. © 2026 Elsevier Ltd.
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104281
dc.identifier.eissn1879-310X
dc.identifier.issn0967-070X
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105043883565
dc.identifier.startpage104281
dc.identifier.urihttps://rdlopen.rawdatalibrary.net/r/ebyu/10157
dc.identifier.volume187
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001821350600001
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier Ltd
dc.relation.ispartofTransport Policy
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectDisaster risk management
dc.subjectHuman mobility
dc.subjectK-means clustering
dc.subjectLogistics corridors
dc.subjectTransportation network resilience
dc.subjectTransportation planning
dc.subjectTurkey
dc.subjectHighway administration
dc.subjectInformation management
dc.subjectTransportation routes
dc.subjectData driven
dc.subjectK-means++ clustering
dc.subjectLogistic corridor
dc.subjectNetwork resilience
dc.subjectRisks management
dc.subjectTransportation network
dc.subjectcluster analysis
dc.subjectdisaster management
dc.subjectlogistics
dc.subjectmobility
dc.subjectmodeling
dc.subjectRisk management
dc.titleData-driven resilience modeling: Shock response of Turkish logistics corridorss
dc.typeArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
rdl.citation.scopus0
rdl.citation.wos0
rdl.source.indexSCOPUS
rdl.source.indexWOS
rdl.wos.indexSocial Science Citation Index (SSCI)