Diagnosis, management, and prevention of Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever: a Delphi-based consensus study in Türkiye

ArticleAçık Erişim

Özet

Background: Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever (CCHF) is a widely distributed viral haemorrhagic fever with expanding geographic range. As new regions encounter the disease, clinicians must make high-stakes decisions despite limited standardised management frameworks. Methods: In this multicentre, modified Delphi study, infectious diseases specialists were recruited from 19 centres in Türkiye via an open call through the professional communication channels of the Turkish Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases (known as KLİMİK). Eligibility was determined based on self-reported clinical experience. Eligible participants reported managing more than ten patients with CCHF as primary physicians, with no additional demographic or professional exclusion criteria applied. The Delphi process included three sequential rounds of anonymous online surveys (between Sept 26 2025, and Jan 1, 2026) and an interim structured clarification meeting (Nov 28–29, 2025), to map areas of agreement and heterogeneity across diagnosis, monitoring, therapeutics, and exposure management. Statements were analysed using Likert-scale methodology. Responses were summarised using medians, interquartile ranges, and proportions of agreement. Consensus levels were defined a priori. Findings: Of 45 ID specialists invited to participate in Round 1, 35 completed the questionnaire and were included in the analysis (78% response rate). All 35 eligible participants were invited to Round 2, and 32 (91%) completed the questionnaire. All 32 participants completed Round 3, with no attrition between Rounds 2 and 3. All participants reported experience of managing more than ten patients with CCHF; ∼85% of participants reported managing at least 50 confirmed cases. In total, 146 candidate statements were evaluated, of which 72 achieved early consensus in Round 1. Following iterative refinement, 39 of 56 statements (69.6%) met predefined consensus criteria in the final round, including eight with very high agreement and 22 with high agreement. Strong convergence was observed for early molecular testing and risk-based hospitalisation, ribavirin initiation within 4 days of symptom onset in confirmed cases, risk-adapted transfusion strategies guided by bleeding severity, and post-exposure prophylaxis after high-risk occupational exposure. Persistent heterogeneity remained regarding ribavirin initiation beyond the early symptomatic window, immunomodulatory therapies, and transfusion de-escalation strategies in selected scenarios. Interpretation: These findings should not be interpreted as formal guidelines. By transparently quantifying expert agreement and non-consensus, this study synthesises specialist clinical experience from a high incidence country and delineates areas of convergence and ongoing uncertainty relevant to both endemic and newly affected regions. Prospective studies are needed to validate key therapeutic and management strategies identified in this work. Funding: None. The Authors

Anahtar Kelimeler

RDL Kalıcı Bağlantı (PID)
https://rdlopen.rawdatalibrary.net/r/ebyu/10707Resmi atıflarda kullanılan kalıcı adres
Tam Kayıt
AlanDeğerDil
dc.contributor.authorErgönül, Önder
dc.contributor.authorGüllü, Deniz
dc.contributor.authorYigci, Defne
dc.contributor.authorÇelikbaş, Aysel Kocagül
dc.contributor.authorAlay, Handan
dc.contributor.authorGök, Şebnem Eren
dc.contributor.authorYapar, Derya
dc.contributor.authorCan, Fatma Kesmez
dc.contributor.authorKader, Çiğdem
dc.contributor.authorAkdoğan, Özlem
dc.contributor.authorKaraşahin, Ömer
dc.contributor.authorÇolak, Nuriye Yalçın
dc.contributor.authorYanık, Ayten
dc.contributor.authorHasanoğlu, İmran
dc.contributor.authorUlusoy, Tülay Ünver
dc.contributor.authorYalçın, Tuğba Yanık
dc.contributor.authorSarıkaya, Rukiye İnan
dc.contributor.authorÇetinkaya, Feyza İzci
dc.contributor.authorTanır, Büşra
dc.contributor.authorGündağ, Ö.
dc.contributor.authorÜnüvar, Gamze Kalın
dc.contributor.authorKarakeçili, Faruk
dc.contributor.authorYüce, Zeynep Türe
dc.contributor.authorŞenel, İlknur
dc.contributor.authorÖzer, Merve Çağlar
dc.contributor.authorKorkmazer, Rüveyda
dc.contributor.authorAksoy, Firdevs
dc.contributor.authorSoyak, Firuze
dc.contributor.authorKayabaş, Üner
dc.contributor.authorYetişgen, Azize
dc.contributor.authorÇiftçi, Elif
dc.contributor.authorSingil, Sarp
dc.contributor.authorEren, Esma Eryılmaz
dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Barçın
dc.contributor.authorÖzbay, Bahadır Orkun
dc.contributor.authorPınarlık, Fatihan
dc.contributor.authorMadran, Bahar
dc.contributor.authorKeske, Şiran
dc.contributor.authorKuşkucu, Mert
dc.contributor.authorGüner, Rahmet
dc.contributor.authorErbay, Ayşe
dc.contributor.authorÖzden, Kemalettin
dc.contributor.authorBaykam, Nurcan
dc.date.accessioned2026-10-18T20:25:52.149551690Z
dc.date.available2026-10-18T20:25:52.149551690Z
dc.date.issued2026
dc.description.abstractBackground: Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever (CCHF) is a widely distributed viral haemorrhagic fever with expanding geographic range. As new regions encounter the disease, clinicians must make high-stakes decisions despite limited standardised management frameworks. Methods: In this multicentre, modified Delphi study, infectious diseases specialists were recruited from 19 centres in Türkiye via an open call through the professional communication channels of the Turkish Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases (known as KLİMİK). Eligibility was determined based on self-reported clinical experience. Eligible participants reported managing more than ten patients with CCHF as primary physicians, with no additional demographic or professional exclusion criteria applied. The Delphi process included three sequential rounds of anonymous online surveys (between Sept 26 2025, and Jan 1, 2026) and an interim structured clarification meeting (Nov 28–29, 2025), to map areas of agreement and heterogeneity across diagnosis, monitoring, therapeutics, and exposure management. Statements were analysed using Likert-scale methodology. Responses were summarised using medians, interquartile ranges, and proportions of agreement. Consensus levels were defined a priori. Findings: Of 45 ID specialists invited to participate in Round 1, 35 completed the questionnaire and were included in the analysis (78% response rate). All 35 eligible participants were invited to Round 2, and 32 (91%) completed the questionnaire. All 32 participants completed Round 3, with no attrition between Rounds 2 and 3. All participants reported experience of managing more than ten patients with CCHF; ∼85% of participants reported managing at least 50 confirmed cases. In total, 146 candidate statements were evaluated, of which 72 achieved early consensus in Round 1. Following iterative refinement, 39 of 56 statements (69.6%) met predefined consensus criteria in the final round, including eight with very high agreement and 22 with high agreement. Strong convergence was observed for early molecular testing and risk-based hospitalisation, ribavirin initiation within 4 days of symptom onset in confirmed cases, risk-adapted transfusion strategies guided by bleeding severity, and post-exposure prophylaxis after high-risk occupational exposure. Persistent heterogeneity remained regarding ribavirin initiation beyond the early symptomatic window, immunomodulatory therapies, and transfusion de-escalation strategies in selected scenarios. Interpretation: These findings should not be interpreted as formal guidelines. By transparently quantifying expert agreement and non-consensus, this study synthesises specialist clinical experience from a high incidence country and delineates areas of convergence and ongoing uncertainty relevant to both endemic and newly affected regions. Prospective studies are needed to validate key therapeutic and management strategies identified in this work. Funding: None. The Authors
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.104156
dc.identifier.issn2589-5370
dc.identifier.pmcidPMC13499453
dc.identifier.pmid42633390
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105047425801
dc.identifier.startpage104156
dc.identifier.urihttps://rdlopen.rawdatalibrary.net/r/ebyu/10707
dc.identifier.volume99
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier Ltd
dc.relation.ispartofeClinicalMedicine
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectAntiviral therapy
dc.subjectCase definition
dc.subjectClinical management
dc.subjectCrimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever
dc.subjectDelphi consensus
dc.subjectalanine aminotransferase
dc.subjectaspartate aminotransferase
dc.subjectbilirubin
dc.subjectcorticosteroid
dc.subjectcreatine kinase
dc.subjectcreatinine
dc.subjectdexamethasone
dc.subjectfibrinogen
dc.subjecthemoglobin
dc.subjectlactate dehydrogenase
dc.subjectmethylprednisolone
dc.subjectprednisone
dc.subjectribavirin
dc.subjectsteroid
dc.subjecturea
dc.subjectactivated partial thromboplastin time
dc.subjectadult
dc.subjectArticle
dc.subjectbleeding
dc.subjectblood cell count
dc.subjectbronchoscopy
dc.subjectclinical decision making
dc.subjectclinician
dc.subjectconsensus
dc.subjectCrimean Congo hemorrhagic fever
dc.titleDiagnosis, management, and prevention of Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever: a Delphi-based consensus study in Türkiye
dc.typeArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
rdl.citation.scopus0
rdl.departmentDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, School of Medicine, Erzincan Binali Yıldırım University, Erzincan, Türkiye.
rdl.oa.statusgold
rdl.source.indexSCOPUS
rdl.source.indexPUBMED